Orange level 5 warning for disruptive rainfall and possible flooding from Monday

By Staff Writer
Published: 16 February 2025 [updated 17 February]

This forecast is for: Mon 17 February 2025
The maps cover: Mon 17 Feb – Wed 19 Feb

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Isolated to scattered showers and thundershowers over the central and eastern parts of South Africa, but widespread in the extreme north-eastern and central parts of the country on Monday, according to the SA Weather Service.

A significant amount of rain is indicated over parts of the central and eastern regions of South Africa over the first few days of the week, with some areas on the radar to receive over 100mm as far as we can tell from the data.

According to SA Weather, a tropical airmass is expected to cause disruptive rain during this week with amounts in the region of 30mm to 50mm daily until Tuesday.

Continual showers are also expected on Wednesday and might persist into Thursday morning. There will still be the likelihood of disruptive rain around the coastal region of the eastern half of the Eastern Cape as well as the southern coastline of KwaZulu-Natal.

Warnings from the SA Weather Service for Monday:

A. orange level 5 warning 🌧️ disruptive rainfall resulting in flooding of informal settlements, low-lying areas and bridges as well as dirt roads is expected in places over the central parts of North West and the southern parts of Gauteng.

B. yellow level 4 warning 🌧️ disruptive rainfall resulting in flooding of informal settlements, low-lying areas and bridges as well as dirt roads is expected in places over North Wes, except in the central parts, extreme northern parts of Free State, northern parts of Gauteng as well as the extreme western parts of Mpumalanga and the southern-western parts of Limpopo.

C. yellow level 2 warning 🌧️ disruptive rainfall resulting in localized flooding of informal settlements, low-lying areas and bridges as well as dirt roads is expected in places over the western parts of Mpumalanga and southern parts of Limpopo.

🔥 Extremely high fire danger conditions are expected in places over northern parts of the Western Cape and the extreme western parts of Northern Cape.

Regional forecasts from SAWS for Monday:

1. GAUTENG
Cloudy and cool with widespread showers and thundershowers.

2. MPUMALANGA
Morning fog patches along the escarpment, otherwise cloudy and cool with scattered showers and thundershowers, but isolated in the Lowveld where it will be warm.

3. LIMPOPO
Morning fog along the escarpment, otherwise cloudy and cool to warm with widespread showers and thundershowers in the extreme south-west, otherwise scattered but isolated in the north-west.

4. NORTH WEST
Cloudy and cool with widespread showers and thundershowers, but scattered in the extreme west.

5. FREE STATE
Cloudy and cool to warm with scattered to widespread showers and thundershowers but isolated in the south where it will be partly cloudy.

6. NORTHERN CAPE
Fine in the extreme west with morning and evening fog along the coast where it will be cool, otherwise partly cloudy and warm to hot with isolated showers and thundershowers in the east, but scattered in the north-east. It will be very hot in places in the north. The wind along the coast will be fresh to strong southerly to south-westerly.

7. WESTERN CAPE
Fine and warm to hot, but partly cloudy over the extreme eastern parts with morning and evening fog patches over the south-eastern parts. Isolated showers and thundershowers can be expected over the extreme north-eastern parts. The wind along the coast will be light to moderate south-easterly along the south coast, otherwise fresh to strong southerly to south-easterly becoming south-westerly north of Robben Island by the afternoon.

8. WESTERN HALF OF THE EASTERN CAPE
Cloudy in the south-east, otherwise partly cloudy and warm with isolated afternoon thunderstorms in the north. It will be hot over the interior. The wind along the coast will be light to moderate easterly to south-easterly.

9. EASTERN HALF OF THE EASTERN CAPE
Partly cloudy and hot with isolated to scattered showers and thundershowers, except in the south-west. It will be cloudy and warm south of the escarpment. The wind along the coast will be moderate to fresh easterly to North-easterly.

10. KWAZULU-NATAL
Morning fog in places over the interior, otherwise partly cloudy and warm with isolated showers and thundershowers but scattered in the north-west. It will be cool in the south-west. The wind along the coast will be moderate to fresh easterly to north-easterly.

Travellers forecasts from SAWS for Monday:

PRETORIA
Cloudy with widespread showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 16/20 °C

JOHANNESBURG
Cloudy with widespread showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 15/18 °C

VEREENIGING
Cloudy with widespread showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 16/19 °C

MBOMBELA
Fog in the morning, otherwise cloudy with scattered showers and
thundershowers
Minimum/Maximum: 19/24 °C

POLOKWANE
Cloudy with scattered showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 18/21 °C

MAHIKENG
Cloudy with widespread showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 17/20 °C

VRYBURG
Cloudy with widespread showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 18/21 °C

BLOEMFONTEIN
Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 17/26 °C

KIMBERLEY
Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 20/29 °C

UPINGTON
Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 22/35 °C

CAPE TOWN
Fine.
Wind: Fresh to strong south-easterly.
Minimum/Maximum: 19/26 °C

GEORGE
Cloudy with fog in the morning and evening, otherwise partly cloudy.
Wind: Moderate south to south-easterly.
Minimum/Maximum: 17/24 °C

GQEBERHA
Fine.
Wind: Light to moderate easterly to south-easterly.
Minimum/Maximum: 19/26 °C

EAST LONDON
Partly cloudy.
Wind: Moderate easterly to south-easterly
Minimum/Maximum: 20/29 °C

DURBAN
Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thundershowers.
Wind: Light to moderate easterly to north-easterly
Minimum/Maximum: 24/29 °C

RICHARDS BAY
Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thundershowers.
Wind: Moderate to fresh easterly to north-easterly.
Minimum/Maximum: 24/31 °C

PIETERMARITZBURG
Morning fog patches, otherwise partly cloudy with isolated showers and thundershowers.
Minimum/Maximum: 18/30°C

This forecast is usually updated a few times per day.

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