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Snow Forecast: Eastern Cape, Lesotho, the Drakensberg: 3-5 October 2018



UPDATE: Some light flurries and perhaps some light settling snow on the high ground is possible tonight in the Eastern Cape between Hogsback and Cradock, and the high ground around Graaff-Reinet. There might also be a few flurries in the early morning in a thin band between Molteno and Barkley East, as well as the Rhodes and Tiffindell areas. Apart from this, we are not expecting much snow in the Eastern Cape.

For KZN, snow is expected to start on the extreme high peaks tonight, and by morning, light snow should be falling on the high peaks in the central Drakensberg. By midday, we expect that snowfalls will extend across most of the northen Drakensberg down to the Southern Drakensberg, with some low level snow being possible around Highmoor, Kamberg, Lotheni and Bushmans Nek. Some light fluriies may be experienced in the Rosetta and Nottingham road area, but not much expected here at all. Snow in these areas could continue through most of the afternoon, on and off, and Underberg and the Drak Gardens area could get some snow in the afternoon. We could also see some snow pushing into the Midlands in the Dargle/Impendle area on the high ground during tomorrow afternoon, but at this stage, it is expected to be quite light, and confined to the high ground. Heavy snow is likely in the afternoon and into the evening on the high Drakensberg, mainly focussed on the southern and central ‘berg, with some moderate falls over the northern Drakensberg. These afternoon falls are expected to stretch quite far west into Lesotho, as far as Katse, Tsaba-Tseka, Mashai and Lebakeng, and stretch as far north as AfriSki.

For Mpumalanga and the eastern Free State, this has been a particually difficult forecast for us as we have been seeing a lot of inconsistency in the weather data over the last 24 hours. This part of the forecast is a 50/50 chance due to the inconsistency, but the data is suggesting that light falls are still possible from Phuthaditjhaba through to Harrismith and van Reenen, and then north towards Memel, Volksrust and Wakkerstroom, and then further north towards Amersfoort, Ermelo, Breyton and maybe Carolina. Clarens and Golden Gate could also get a few flurries. Yesterday, the data was suggesting it may go as far north as Graskop, but we are not seeing this at the moment. We must stress again that this part of the forecast has been very challenging due to the nature of this system, so if you do see snow falling in any of these areas, please let us know immediately.

In terms of snow depths, the high Drakensberg looks like falls between 15cm and 45cm from north to south with the heaviest falls expected in the central Drakensberg. At the lower elevations in KZN close to the Drakensberg, we could see between 5 and 10cm, and in the midlands, only a few centimeters seems possible. In Mpumalanga, we are not expecting any falls more than 5cm, but we really need to wait and see what happens now. In the Eastern Cape, falls are expected to be between 1cm and 3cm.

Tomorrow is going to be a busy day for the team. Richard and Rob will both be out reporting from different locations in KZN. Both mobile teams will report on our FB page as and when they have news. The wonderful ladies in the office will be managing the social media pages and keeping everyone updated through the day by sharing news from our awesome followers. Please send us your snow reports, either by whatsapp to 0723908021, post to our Facebook page, or email through to iseesnow@snowreport.co.za .

Please keep warm, be safe, respect private property and enjoy this snow event with us.

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Author: SnowReport SA

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