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Advanced Snow Forecast: Eastern Cape, Lesotho, KZN, Drakensberg: 1-3 November 2018

Snow for November?!? With the extreme heat over the last week we’ve been watching the data to see if it would be followed by a significant snow event late in the season just like last year, and looks quite likely. The freezing level will drop really low from Tuesday next week in the Western Cape, the Eastern Cape, Lesotho and KZN, and if the moisture band doesn’t shift too much it seems that we’re set for widespread snow across these areas. But while the snow levels in the north-western region of the Eastern Cape will be no more than 5cm, there is a possibility of 10cm for the peaks around Graaff-Reinet and Hogsback, and up to 25cm for the peaks around Rhodes and Tiffindell, and Barkly Pass should get about 10cm. More significant however is the snowfall for the eastern part of Lesotho that is indicated by the data, with between 15cm and 50cm forecast for the area between the northern and the southern Drakensberg (around Sani Pass), including 15cm for AfriSki. At this point the snow will fall between Wednesday and Friday next week, but the time period is likely to shift as we get closer to the event.

NB: It is important to note that this is an advanced forecast, and the conditions have changed significantly already over the days we’ve been watching the data (2m of snow was indicated up 2 days ago), so please expect this forecast to change. A small shift in the freezing levels or a shift in the direction of the front could dramatically change the forecast, as has happened with other snow events this season. But we do believe that some snow will fall next week. It’s just a matter of what happens closer to the event so keep checking our page for updates over the next few days.

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Author: SnowReport SA

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