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Advanced Snow Forecast: Lesotho and the Drakensberg: 3-5 October 2018

ADVANCED FORECAST: Just when we thought winter was over, the weather data is suggesting that the biggest snowfall of the season is on its way this week!

The first snow with this system seems possible during the early hours of Wednesday morning in the Tiffindell and Rhodes area of the Eastern Cape, and by midday on Wednesday, we are expecting to see snow right the way along the Eastern Cape Drakensberg, the Southern Drakensberg and into the central high Drakesnberg. During the afternoon on Wednesday, we expect these falls to intensify, and extend further north into the Maluti Mountains around AfriSki and into the eastern parts of Lesotho.

During Wednesday night and into Thursday morning, we expect to see further intensity in the snowfalls as the freezing level drops further, bringing substantial falls over the Eastern Cape Drakensberg, the Southern KZN Drakensberg, as well as the central and northern Drakensberg. During this time, heavy falls are also expected in the central and eastern parts of Lesotho, and there is a chance that some light falls will happen in Matatielle area, and could also come down into the Underberg/Himeville area.

The heaviest snowfalls will be during Thursday morning, according to the weather data, with significant snow possible from the Malutis in the north of Lesotho, right down through the northern Drakensberg, central and southern Drakensberg, the Eastern Cape Drakensberg, as well as central and eastern Lesotho. Snowfalls seem likely to continue right through Thursday afternoon and into early evening in these areas.

By Friday morning, all snowfalls should cease, with clear skies expected.

The weather data is currently showing substantial quantities of snow, with the following accumulation expected: Tiffindell 40-50cm, AfriSki 40-55cm, Sani Pass 60-80cm, Thabana Ntlenyana 120-150cm, Cathedral Peak 40-50cm, Champagne Castle 80-90cm, Giants Castle 90-110cm, Mont-aux-sources 30-40cm and Rhino Peak 70-80cm.

Our map shows light snow heading down into the KZN Midlands around Mooi River and Estcourt but there is a fair amount of inconsistency in this data for low level snow, so we will be updating the forecast every day as we get closer to this event. As this is an advanced forecast, we are likely to see some changes over the next couple of days, but we have seen consistency in this system for the last 48 hours. Please check back daily for updates.

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Author: SnowReport SA

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